The Real Cost of Herd Immunity Is 5.9 Million American Deaths

• • • •
herd-immunity

In a September 15th ABC Town Hall, Donald Trump repeated claims that the COVID-19 health crisis can be solved through herd immunity, claiming, “it’s going to be herd-developed, and that’s going to happen. That will all happen.”

According to the Mayo Clinic, herd immunity occurs when a large enough portion of a population becomes infected that it becomes less likely a virus will spread, thus protecting the whole group.

Calculating the casualties necessary to achieve herd immunity in the U.S. can be done with what we already know about the virus. Epidemiologists estimate that a 60-80% infection rate is necessary to achieve herd immunity and believe that number is closer to 60% for COVID-19. A 60% infection rate among the U.S. population would be: 331,002,651 x .6 = 198,601,590 million people infected.

According to Johns Hopkins, the observed COVID-19 mortality rate in the U.S. is 3%. So, of those 198 million infections, approximately 3%, or 5,958,047 people would die.

This is a stunning acceptance of mass casualties as a result of inaction.

Fact Quotes

Stephanopoulos: It would go away without the vaccine?

Trump: Sure, over a period of time. Sure, with time it goes away.

Stephanopoulos: And many deaths.

Trump: And you’ll develop — you’ll develop herd — like a herd mentality. It’s going to be — it’s going to be herd-developed, and that’s going to happen. That will all happen.

ABC News

“You could imagine that once 60% of the population is infected, the number of infections starts to drop. But it might be another 20% that gets infected while the disease is starting to die out,” said Joel Miller of La Trobe University in Australia.

That 60% is also the threshold past which new introductions of the virus — say, an infected passenger disembarking from a cruise ship into a healthy port with herd immunity — will quickly burn out.

“It doesn’t mean you won’t be able to start a fire at all, but that outbreak is going to die,” said Kate Langwig of Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University.

SPREAD FACTS. NOT LIES.

Whatsapp
Reddit

Tired of Fighting to Vote? Democrats Want to Make Voting Easier.

700 People Dead. 30,000 Sick. Trump rallies have taken lives.

We Decide Who Wins Elections, Not the Courts

The Reality Behind Donald Trump’s Claims that His Policies Help Black Americans

Trump’s Actions This Week Perfectly Encapsulate How He Fails America

Donald Trump Has Never Been a President for All Americans, and He Is Incapable of Starting Now

Ivanka’s Trademarks Get Granted. Sanctions on Chinese Company Get Lifted.

The Simplicity of Donald Trump’s Thinking Vastly Underestimates America

The Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) Helped Prevent 1.7 Million Abortions

In the Final Stretch Before Election Day the Chaos Will be Extreme. Do not Be Discouraged. Do not Be Distracted.

What Has Joe Biden Done? Co-Sponsored the PROTECT Our Children Act of 2008

What Has Biden Done? As Vice President, Biden Oversaw the Implementation of the Recovery Act

Donald Trump’s Trade “Deal” with China: Another Broken Promise

Donald Trump Has Lied About Passing Veterans Choice Over 150 Times

Joe Biden’s Proposed Investment in Biofuels Will Help Farmers to Profit and Fight Climate Change

What Has Biden Done? He Was an Original Co-Sponsor of The Matthew Shepard and James Byrd, Jr. Hate Crimes Prevention Act

Trump’s Promise Broken: From “Bill of Love” to Deporting Dreamers

How does a coward cross the road? Ask Donald Trump.

The Economy Does Better Under Democrats

Floridians Can’t Trust Trump on Offshore Drilling

Dear President Trump: The Stock Market Is Not the Economy

Donald Trump’s Economy Not The “Best Ever” Even Before the Pandemic

The Breathtaking, Not-At-All-Veiled Racism Behind Donald Trump’s Claim He’s Saved the Suburbs

Joe Biden Will Invest $10 Billion in Minority-Serving Incubators That Connect Students to Jobs in Fields Where They Are Underrepresented

The Trump Organization Received Funds From a $500 Million Loan Given By a State-Owned Chinese Construction Company

We can't win without your support.

We're running digital campaigns in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Florida through November 3rd to make sure voters have the facts. Share the facts and donate today.